(By Olusegun Adeniyi) - In the past three weeks, no fewer than a thousand
Nigerians have been deported from the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Belgium,
South Africa and Libya. Meanwhile, we are still awaiting the deluge that will
come from the United States given the resolve of President Donald Trump to
unleash a policy of “settlers and indigenes” on his country. It doesn’t matter
that his own grandfather, Friedrich Trump, in 1905, wrote a letter to the
German authorities begging that he and his family be spared the pain and
humiliation of deportation.
If you excuse the diplomatic blunder in issuing an
American travel warning which is not within her remit, I still believe the
Special Adviser to the President on Diaspora, Mrs Abike Dabiri-Erewa has done
well on the issue of Nigerian deportees from abroad. But it is time the
authorities began to find a lasting solution to the problem of our citizens
who, desperate to get out of Nigeria, now find themselves in a bind in foreign
lands where they are no longer welcome.
Last week, another batch of 180 Nigerians arrived from
Libya to join the 171 colleagues who were brought back a few days earlier by
the International Organization for Migration (IOM) after they had spent several
months in Libyan detention facilities. Among them were physically and
psychologically broken men, malnourished children, nursing mothers and pregnant
women. They came back not only battered and bruised but with harrowing stories.
From South Africa, where many of our nationals have in
recent weeks been under Xenophobic attacks, 97 Nigerians (95 males and two
females) were also deported back home last week by their government allegedly
for committing various offences. As it would happen, they arrived on the same day
41 Nigerian girls who were trafficked to Mali for sex and labour exploitation
were evacuated back home. On Tuesday night, another batch of 37 deportees
arrived Lagos from Italy while many more are still on their way home from
Europe and America. According to the Deputy Director, Search and Rescue,
National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), Dr. Bandele Onimode, these
unfortunate Nigerians “are coming back almost empty and this is a lesson to
them to settle down home and be useful to their country” while assuring that
the federal government “will ensure that they are well catered for.”
Even while I am almost certain that is an empty promise,
it is nonetheless still comforting to know that the government is concerned
about the plights of our stranded nationals who are coming home with traumas. “Several
of our girls (who are innocent) are in prison, while many did not survive the
gunshots when they (Libyan authorities) were catching (arresting) everybody.
Some people were shot at the scene and some others died in prison yards. Many
of my friends who went to Libya with us have died” said Miss Gift Peters, one
of the female deportees who started out on a journey to Germany that ended in
Libya.
I can relate to the stories of many of these Nigerians
essentially because of the travails of my younger brother which formed the
kernel of my 1st October 2005 ‘Platform Nigeria’
intervention titled “If We Stay Here We Die” which resonated with many
Nigerians, given the feedback I got after. But my worry is that we are not
doing enough to discourage the mindset among majority of our young people that
tend to suggest that the grass is greener on the other side. And we are also
not mindful of the fact that we need to control our largely unproductive
population.
At a time when multiculturalism is under a serious
global threat, it is important for our young people to know that attempting to
go abroad is no longer a ticket to the good life that it used to be in the
past. It is now almost like a death sentence for majority of those desperate
enough to try the land route who may perish in the Mediterranean Sea or rot in
some African jails. Even for the educated ones who may seek emigration for
economic reasons with valid (tourist) visas, the opportunities for them abroad
are shrinking by the day aside the indignities that now await them in the
countries of their dreams should they be lucky to get in.
However, rather than blame Europe and America for the
growing anti-immigrant sentiment, it is also important for us to reflect and
put ourselves in their position. For instance, while the number of poor people
continue to decline in other regions of the world, Nigeria and other
sub-Saharan African countries currently account for half of the global poor,
according to a World Bank December 2015 Report. The irony of it is that it is
those same poor countries that are witnessing explosions in their populations,
bringing up children whose future are hardly planned for.
About two years ago, Mr. Dimos Sakellaridis, The Country
Director for DKT International, one of the largest private providers of family
planning products, said a major concern about the rapidly growing population in
Nigeria is the fact that jobs, national infrastructures, social services,
housing, health care facilities etc. are not also growing at an equally
comparable rate. “If you compare Nigeria with developed countries like Italy, a
Catholic dominated country or even the Islamic Republic of Iran, which is a
Muslim country, you will understand that these countries have maintained same
population for several years and this has caused them to organise their lives
better and provide for their people,” said Sakellaridis who argued that
religion cannot be an excuse for our uncontrolled population growth.
I have highlighted in the past on this page, a 2010
report sponsored by the British Council and coordinated by David Bloom, Harvard
Professor of Economics and Demography, titled, “Nigeria-The Next Generation”.
The report remains instructive as it states inter alia: “Nigeria is at a
crossroads: one path offers a huge demographic dividend, with tremendous
opportunity for widespread economic and human progress, while the other path
leaves Nigeria descending into quicksand.”
The kernel of that point is to ask: what kind of
population are we breeding? Even when I have not conducted any research, most
educated and relatively comfortable people in our society no longer subscribe
to having many children. They have only the number they believe they can care
for. On the other hand, those who are at the bottom of the society have no
qualms about having as many children as they like without considering the
welfare of those they are bringing into the world. For instance, I have a
friend, a professional with a very good job who has three children because, as
he said, that is the number he can comfortably care for. Meanwhile, his driver
has 13 children from three women!
I predicted on this page several years ago that the 1974
controversial book, “Life Boat Ethics: The Case Against Helping The Poor” by
Garrett Hardin could one day become the handbook for policy makers in most
immigration departments of Western countries. Now, I have been proved right as
most countries close their doors on desperate economic migrants. That was what
brought Mr. Donald Trump to power and led to the Brexit vote in the United
Kingdom.
To appreciate the message, I want to republish some
parts of the rather interesting theory so that the relevant authorities in our
country can begin to appreciate the challenge before us as we strive to
reposition our economy while at the same time thinking of policy options on how
to control our population. It is a compelling choice that we must make. In
Hardin’s words:
“If we divide the world crudely into rich nations and
poor nations, two thirds of them are desperately poor, and only one third
comparatively rich, with the United States the wealthiest of all.
Metaphorically, each rich nation can be seen as a lifeboat full of
comparatively rich people. In the ocean outside each lifeboat swim the poor of
the world, who would like to get in, or at least to share some of the wealth.
What should the lifeboat passengers do?
“First, we must recognise the limited capacity of any
lifeboat. For example, a nation’s land has a limited capacity to support a
population and as the current energy crisis has shown us, in some ways we have
already exceeded the carrying capacity of our land. So here we sit, say 50
people in our lifeboat. To be generous, let us assume it has room for 10 more,
making a total capacity of 60. Suppose the 50 of us in the lifeboat see 100
others swimming in the water outside, begging for admission to our boat or for
handouts.
“We have several options: we may be tempted to try to
live by the Christian ideal of being ‘our brother’s keeper’ or by the Marxist
ideal of ‘to each according to his needs.’ Since the needs of all in the water
are the same, and since they can all be seen as ‘our brothers,’ we could take
them all into our boat, making a total of 150 in a boat designed for 60. The boat
swamps, everyone drowns. Complete justice, complete catastrophe.
“Since the boat has an unused excess capacity of 10 more
passengers, we could admit just 10 more to it. But which 10 do we let in? How
do we choose? Do we pick the best 10, ‘first come, first served’? And what do
we say to the 90 we exclude? If we do let an extra 10 into our lifeboat, we
will have lost our ‘safety factor,’ an engineering principle of critical
importance. Suppose we decide to preserve our small safety factor and admit no
more to the lifeboat. Our survival is then possible although we shall have to
be constantly on guard against boarding parties.
“While this last solution clearly offers the only means
of our survival, it is morally abhorrent to many people. Some say they feel
guilty about their good luck. My reply is simple: ‘Get out and yield your place
to others.’ This may solve the problem of the guilt-ridden person’s conscience,
but it does not change the ethics of the lifeboat. The needy person to whom the
guilt-ridden person yields his place will not himself feel guilty about his
good luck. If he did, he would not climb aboard.
“The harsh ethics of the lifeboat become harsher when we
consider the reproductive differences between rich and poor. A wise and
competent government saves out of the production of the good years in
anticipation of bad years to come. Joseph taught this policy to Pharaoh in
Egypt more than 2,000 years ago. Yet the great majority of the governments in
the world today do not follow such a policy. They lack either the wisdom or the
competence, or both.
“On the average, poor countries undergo a 2.5 percent
increase in population each year; rich countries, about 0.8 percent. Because of
the higher rate of population growth in the poor countries of the world, 88
percent of today’s children are born poor, and only 12 percent rich. Year by
year the ratio becomes worse, as the fast-reproducing poor outnumber the
slow-reproducing rich…”
What the foregoing suggests, as I have written in the
past, is that it is no longer easy for our nationals to run abroad in search of
the proverbial greener pastures that are not there anymore; even for the
citizens of the host nations. The only solution is for us to put our house in
order. That also entails having to rethink the issue of population control. It
is in our collective interest.
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